دانلود کتاب Advances in Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty

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Cover......Page 1
THEORY AND DECISION LIBRARY - SERIES C: GAME THEORY, MATHEMATICAL PROGRAMMING AND OPERATIONS RESEARCH VOLUME 42......Page 2
Advances in Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty......Page 3
Copyright - ISBN: 9783540684367......Page 4
Preface......Page 5
Contents......Page 9
Contributors......Page 11
Part I: Uncertainty and Information Modeling......Page 14
Revealed Ambiguity and Its Consequences: Updating......Page 15
Dynamic Decision Making When Risk Perception Depends on Past Experience......Page 31
Representation of Conditional Preferences Under Uncertainty......Page 45
Subjective Information in Decision Making and Communication......Page 60
Part II: Risk Modeling......Page 74
Sensitivity Analysis in Decision Making: A Consistent Approach......Page 75
Alternation Bias and the Parameterization of Cumulative Prospect Theory......Page 100
Proposing a Normative Basis for the S-Shaped Value Function......Page 117
Part III: Experimental Individual Decision Making......Page 127
Individual Choice from a Convex Lottery Set: Experimental Evidence......Page 128
Temptations and Dynamic Consistency......Page 143
Monty Hall's Three Doors for Dummies......Page 157
Overconfidence in Predictions as an Effect of Desirability Bias......Page 169
Part IV: Experimental Interactive Decision Making......Page 187
Granny Versus Game Theorist: Ambiguity in Experimental Games......Page 188
Guessing Games and People Behaviours: What Can We Learn?......Page 210
The Determinants of Individual Behaviour in Network Formation: Some Experimental Evidence......Page 223