دانلود کتاب An Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic

فهرست مطالب :

Title ......Page 1
Copyright ......Page 4
Dedication ......Page 5
Contents ......Page 7
A Note on the Cover Illustration page ......Page 9
Foreword ......Page 11
Odd Questions ......Page 15
1 Logic ......Page 19
2 What Is Inductive Logic? ......Page 29
3 The Gambler\'s Fallacy ......Page 41
4 Elementary Probability Ideas ......Page 55
5 Conditional Probability ......Page 65
6 The Basic Rules of Probability ......Page 76
7 Bayes\' Rule ......Page 87
8 Expected Value ......Page 97
9 Maximizing Expected Value ......Page 116
10 Decision under Uncertainty ......Page 132
11 What Do You Mean? ......Page 145
12 Theories about Probability ......Page 158
13 Personal Probabilities ......Page 169
14 Coherence ......Page 181
15 Learning from Experience ......Page 189
16 Stability ......Page 207
17 Normal Approximations ......Page 219
18 Significance and Power ......Page 227
19 Confidence and Inductive Behavior ......Page 247
20 The Philosophical Problem of Induction ......Page 265
21 Learning from Experience as an Evasion of the Problem of Induction ......Page 274
22 Inductive Behavior as an Evasion of the Problem of Induction ......Page 279
Answers to the Exercises ......Page 287
Further Reading ......Page 311
Index ......Page 318