دانلود کتاب Brazil in Transition: Beliefs, Leadership, and Institutional Change

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CONTENTS\nList of Illustrations\nList of Tables\nPreface\nAbbreviations\nPart I. An Overview of Brazil in Transition: Beliefs, Leadership, and Institutional Change\n CHAPTER 1. Introduction\n Economic Development and Critical Transitions\n Brazil: This Time for Real?\n A Sketch of the Conceptual Framework\n Analytical Narratives and Economic Development\n Road Map for the Book\n CHAPTER 2. A Conceptual Dynamic for Understanding Development\n Beliefs, Leadership, Dominant Network, and Windows of Opportunity\n Difference in Difference in Changing Beliefs\n Overview of Dominant Network, Beliefs, and Institutions in Brazil from 1964 to 2014\n 1964–1984\n 1985–1993\n 1994–2014\n Summary\nPart II. Introduction to the Case Study of Brazil, 1964–2014\n Identifying Beliefs\n Appendix: A Primer on the Brazilian Political System\n CHAPTER 3. From Disorder to Growth and Back: The Military Regime (1964–1984)\n From Chaos to a Short Period of Order\n From Order to Unsustainable Growth\n The Miracle Fades\n Back to Disorder\n The Decline of Developmentalism\n CHAPTER 4. Transition to Democracy and the Belief in Social Inclusion (1985–1993)\n A New Belief Emerges\n The Transition to Democracy\n Codifying Beliefs: The Constitution of 1988\n The Constitution- Making Process\n The Constitution’s Delegation of Powers to the President\n Back to Uncertainty and Chaos\n Failures of the Brazilian Economic Plans before the Real\n The Collor Government: Great Hope, Huge Disappointment\n CHAPTER 5. Cardoso Seizes a Window of Opportunity (1993–2002)\n The Real Plan\n Early Institutional Deepening: Constitutional Amendments\n Coalition Management under Cardoso\n Asserting Fiscal Control over States\n Staying the Course against the Early Opposition to the Real Plan\n Sustaining Stability in the Face of External Shocks\n Cardoso’s Second Term: Combining Macro Orthodoxy with Social Inclusion\n The Reassertion of Presidential Fiscal Authority\n Conclusions\n CHAPTER 6. Deepening Beliefs and Institutional Change (2002–2014)\n The Uncertain Transition\n Continuity in Change\n Deepening the Social Contract\n Checks and Balances vs. Strong Presidential Powers\n The New Economic Matrix and Dilma’s Policy Switch\n Beliefs? Really? . . . Really!\n The Messy Process of Dissipative Inclusion\n Conclusion\nPart III. A General Inductive Framework for Understanding Critical Transitions\n CHAPTER 7. A Conceptual Framework for Understanding Critical Transitions\n Understanding Critical Transitions\n How Does Our Framework Fit in the Literature?\n The Building Blocks of Our Conceptual Framework\n Windows of Opportunity\n Dominant Network\n Beliefs\n Leadership\n Institutions\n Economic and Political Outcomes\n Dynamics\n Argentina: An Illustrative Use of the Framework\n The Camelot Years: 1912–1930\n Electoral Fraud and the Rise of Perón: 1930–1946\n Instability Is the Rule: Oscillations between Populism and Military Rule: 1946–Present\n Concluding Remarks\n CHAPTER 8. Conclusion\n Better and Worse at the Same Time\n Assessing the Framework\n Brazil and the Critical Transition\nAfterword\nReferences\nIndex