دانلود کتاب Low-Probability High-Consequence Risk Analysis: Issues, Methods, and Case Studies

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Front Matter....Pages i-x
Front Matter....Pages 1-3
Precursors to Potential Severe Core Damage Accidents: 1969–1979....Pages 5-32
Modeling Rare Events: The Frequencies of Fires in Nuclear Power Plants....Pages 33-53
Flood Prediction with Causal Analysis....Pages 55-63
Methodology for Flood Risk Analysis for Nuclear Power Plants....Pages 65-80
Dam Failures: Insights to Nuclear Power Risks....Pages 81-90
The Trade-off Between Expected Risk and the Potential for Large Accidents....Pages 91-105
Models for the use of Expert Opinions....Pages 107-124
Front Matter....Pages 125-126
Bayesian Estimates for the Rate of three Mile Island Type Releases....Pages 127-136
An Incentive Approach to Eliciting Probabilities....Pages 137-152
Robust Risk Analysis: The Need for it in Nuclear Probabilistic Risk Evaluations....Pages 153-160
A Kalman Filter Model for Determining Block and Trickle SNM Losses....Pages 161-179
Front Matter....Pages 181-185
Predicting Low-Probability/High-Consequence Events....Pages 187-199
Statistical Methods of Risk Assessment for Energy Technology....Pages 201-215
Front Matter....Pages 217-220
Lessons Learned from First Generation Nuclear Plant Probabilistic Risk Assessments....Pages 221-238
Use of Risk Analysis Methods in the LNG Industry....Pages 239-255
State-of-the-Art of Risk Assessment of Chemical Plants in Europe....Pages 257-283
Risk Assessment at the Nuclear Regulatory Commission....Pages 285-291
Front Matter....Pages 293-295
Human Reliability Analysis: A Case Study....Pages 297-308
Quantification of Human Performance Through the use of Nuclear Power Plant Experience....Pages 309-317
Alternate Approaches to Human Reliability Analysis....Pages 319-333
Front Matter....Pages 335-336
Catastrophic Loss Risks: An Economic and Legal Analysis, and a Model State Statute....Pages 337-360
Compensation Issues Related to LP/HC Events: the Case of Toxic Chemicals....Pages 361-371
Risk Analysis in the United States Law: Cost Versus Risk....Pages 373-392
High-Consequence Analysis, Evaluation, and Application of Select Criteria....Pages 393-424
Management Systems for Low-Probability/High-Consequence Events....Pages 425-453
The Statutory Basis of Risk Assessment....Pages 455-479
Front Matter....Pages 481-482
Analysis Needed to Assess Risk: A Case Study on Radionuclides....Pages 483-491
Aggregation of Opinions and Preferences in Decision Problems....Pages 493-503
Front Matter....Pages 505-506
Residential Proximity, Perceived and Acceptable Risk....Pages 507-520
Low-Probability/High-Consequence Risks: Issues in Credibility and Acceptance....Pages 521-529
Public Perception of Industrial Risks: A Free-Response Approach....Pages 531-550
Situation Specific Indicators for Distinguishing Between High Consequence/Low-Probability Risk and Low-Consequence/High-Probability Risk....Pages 551-567
Back Matter....Pages 569-571