دانلود کتاب New Patterns of Global Security in the Twenty-First Century

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Source: International Affairs (Royal Institute of International Affairs 1944-), Vol. 67, No. 3
(Jul., 1991), pp. 431-451The twenty-first century has already begun, writes Barry Buzan. He analyses post- Cold War, post-East-West power relations and traces the consequences of changed relationships between the great powers of the North (or 'centre ') for states in the South (or 'periphery'). The centre is now more dominant, he argues, and the periphery more subordinate to it than at any time since decolonization began. In that sense, Western capitalism has triumphed over both communism and Third World ideology. Among the possibilities he outlines are the development of a civilizational 'cold war' between North and South in the coming decades as Islam is pushed to the front rank of opposition to Western hegemony; continued militarization in the South; and, as decolonization recedes into the distant past, an assault on post-colonial boundaries there, as we saw in the Gulf crisis. Societal concerns, he writes, are likely to assume a prominence on the security agenda that they have not held since before the establishment of the modern European states system.