دانلود کتاب Sociological Appraisal of Macroeconomic Forecasting: Economic Models, Economic Policy and Science Studies

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Book Cover......Page 1
Title......Page 4
Contents......Page 5
List of figures......Page 10
List of tables......Page 12
List of equations......Page 14
List of models......Page 16
Acknowledgements......Page 18
Who knows what tomorrow brings? Brief introductions to the sociology of scientific knowledge and to economic forecasting......Page 22
Cherished beliefs and t-statistics: how economic models are estimated......Page 45
Extrapolations and expertise: how economic forecasts are made......Page 71
Soothsaying or science? Choosing between economic models......Page 98
Different models: economic forecasts in February 1993......Page 122
Different futures: controversies and disputes in July 1993......Page 149
Difficult choices: policy recommendations in October 1993......Page 174
Economic models, economic policy and science studies......Page 193
Appendix A: equations used in the econometric model......Page 212
Notes......Page 222
Bibliography......Page 235
Interviews......Page 245
Index......Page 246