دانلود کتاب Theory and Credibility: Integrating Theoretical and Empirical Social Science

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Cover
Contents
Preface
Acknowledgments
1. Introduction
Part I. Foundations
2. The Framework
2.1 The View from Thirty Thousand Feet
2.2 Learning from Agreement or Disagreement
2.3 Women’s Underrepresentation in Electoral Politics
2.4 A Comparison to Other Approaches
2.5 Extrapolation
2.6 Conclusion
3. All Else Equal
3.1 All Else Equal in Theory
3.2 All Else Equal in Empirics
3.3 Commensurability and All Else Equal
3.4 Theoretical Assumptions, Empirical Challenges
3.5 All Else Equal Need Not Be Causal
3.6 Conclusion
4. Models
4.1 Models
4.2 Mechanisms
4.3 Intentionality and Understanding
4.4 Some Guidance onWhat Makes a Good Model
4.5 Conclusion
5. Research Design
5.1 Elements of a Research Design
5.2 Potential Outcomes and the Challenge of All Else Equal
5.3 TheMajor Research Designs
5.4 Putting the ERD to Work
5.5 Sensitivity Analysis
5.6 Conclusion
Interlude
Part II. Interactions
6. Reinterpreting
6.1 Party Effects in Congress
6.2 Who Becomes a Terrorist?
6.3 Elections and Natural Disasters
6.4 Gleanings
7. Elaborating
7.1 Partisan Bias in Federal Prosecutions
7.2 Accountability and Information
7.3 Elections and Consumption
7.4 Who Becomes a Terrorist?
7.5 Football and Accountability
7.6 Deforestation and Corruption
7.7 Gleanings
8. Distinguishing
8.1 Accountability and Term Limits
8.2 Party Effects in Congress
8.3 Social Pressure and Political Behavior
8.4 Gleanings
9. Disentangling
9.1 Accountability and Competence in Elections
9.2 Economic Shocks and Violence
9.3 Sources of Incumbent Success
9.4 Gleanings
10. Modeling the Research Design
10.1 Close Elections and the Incumbency Advantage
10.2 The Efficacy of Protests
10.3 Gleanings
11. Conclusion
Bibliography
Index